Susan Wade-Weeks - Facebook Crazy?

As I said in my last post I had been getting a bit worried about the Conservative Candidate Susan Wade-Weeks. Getting on for a week and a half into the election and no sign of her anywhere.

Her website hasn't been updated for two weeks and the facebook page linked off her website also seemed pretty dead. Then I found her second facebook page, which looked more promising, but also hadn't been updated very recently. But I kept digging and I have now found her third facebook page and this one was updated yesterday!

Not only does this facebook page suggest that Susan Wade-Weeks is alive but it also gives handy details of all the campaigning she has been doing.

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Hugh and Su

It has been nearly a week since my last post and to be honest not a lot of very much interest seems to have happened. I have had another leaflet through from Hugh Bayley. The content is basically the same as his last leaflet giving lots of facts and figures about the things he has achieved as York's MP.

Hugh Bayley's claimed achievements include saving you £47 on your water bill, better pensions, better schools, more jobs, more doctors, more police and less crime. In this leaflet he does very briefly refer to his expenses saying that he was the first MP in the region to publish his expenses in full and was not found to have over claimed at all by the independent auditors.

This second leaflet means that Hugh Bayley is now in first place on the candidates contacts chart with Christian Vassie and Andy Chase in equal second place.

I am starting to get a little bit worried about the Conservative Candidate though. We are 9 days into the election campaign and Susan Wade-Weeks, the presumed main challenger to Hugh Bayley, has yet to make contact. I checked her website and that doesn't seem to have been updated for over 2 weeks. I do hope she is OK. If anyone has heard from Susan please can they let me know.

While we wait for her to make contact I suppose we will have to make do with this video of her talking about the campaign

Hugh Bayley Leaflet

I got my first leaflet through from the Labour party yesterday. (Not actually addressed to me but to a previous occupant of my house).

It looks like the local Labour party have beaten me to it and got a copy up on The Straight Choice already.

The leaflet is basically pretty positive. Hugh Bayley does not attack anyone. Instead his leaflet concentrates on what he claims to have done for York since the last election. His claims include an extra 5,800 jobs, halved NHS waiting times, £91 million investment in schools plus £60 million on city college, reducing crime and increasing payments to pensioners.

Obviously a lot of these are, at least partially, down to national Labour party policies rather than just Hugh Bayley's personal influence but it is a positive start from the Labour candidate. It will be interesting to see if the other candidates try and critique Hugh Bayley's claimed achievements or continue, as some of them have been doing so far, banging on the sleaze drum.

Candidate Contacts Chart

I have created the chart above (and in the right hand navigation) to show the number of contacts that I personally receive from each of the York Central Candidates.

As contacts I am counting leaflets, letters, emails, phone calls, knocking on my door or accosting me in the street. I will not be counting any attempts at contact though this blog though. What I am interested in is the amount of contact that an ordinary voter in York Central gets from each candidate.

I am using the beginning of this week as the starting point. So far I have had 1 leaflet each from the Liberal Democrats, Greens and Labour. I will update the chart periodically through the next few weeks up to election day.

Paul Abbott - UKIP

I now have some more details on Paul Abbott the new UKIP candidate. He is the same Paul Abbott who runs the Micklegate Post Office and is involved in various local campaigns through the Micklegate Traders Association.

Paul Abbott now has his own page on the UKIP Candidates website which is rather charmingly rambling and full of spelling mistakes. This page gives some basic biographical information but is rather light on policies and ideas. Giving his reasons for standing in this election Paul Abbott says that

I want to become a Member of Parliament primarily because of what I learn over our post office counter. Bearing in mind it is 2010; it is an absolute disgrace how we treat the elderly, family life, students, self employed, ex armed forces and freedoms.

Paul Abbott doesn't give any indication what he would do to improve things, but it is early on in the campaign so there is time yet.

Interestingly, given that he is the UKIP candidate, there isn't much mention on Paul Abbott's UKIP Candidate page of Europe.

Campaigning gets underway

Like a lot of people in York Central I have been getting sporadic election leaflets from some of the parties for the last couple of months. Most have come from the Lib Dems and Greens. I personally have not seen any leaflets from the other parties. It would be interesting to hear if this is reflected across the constituency.
The latest leaflet from Christian Vassie (above) centres on the fact that Hugh Bayley, who has been elected to represent the interests of the people of York in London, spends most of his time in London. Christian Vassie uses this revelation to accuse Hugh Bayley of lying to the people of York.

Other than revealing that he hadn't quite grasped that being an MP involves spending quite a lot of time in London, Chritian Vassie's latest leaflet has his "Four Steps to a Fairer Britain". These are

1) Tax Cuts
2) More money for education
3) More money for renewable energy
4) Giving you the right to sack corrupt MPs - (is that not what elections are for?)

Christian Vassie does not reveal where the money for steps 1, 2 and 3 of his 4 step plan will come from but I am sure he will let us know in his next leaflet.

Andy Chase (above) meanwhile is using the 2007 local election results to claim that the Green Party are the real challengers to Labour in York Central. He is basing this on two things. First the new York Outer constituency is effectively a three way marginal which means it is where the Lib Dems and Conservatives are concentrating most of their efforts leaving the Greens more room to maneuver in York Central. Secondly Andy Chase claims that if the results of the 2007 local elections were replicated then the Greens would be in second place on about 20% of the vote (with Labour ahead at 33% and both the Lib Dems and Conservatives on about 17%).

I am not entirely convinced by his logic on this one as the Greens only managed 4.5% of the vote in the 2005 general election. Even to replicate their claimed 20% effective vote from 2007 would be a massive step up for them in this election. Let alone getting the extra 10 or 20% on top of that that they would probably need to take the seat.

Andy Chase has a copy of this leaflet on his blog and you can see a copy of Christian Vassie's leaflet on The Straight Choice.

4 weeks to go

We now have 4 weeks until the election on May 6th. The confirmed candidates for the York Central Constituency are

Hugh Bayley MP (Labour)
Susan Wade-Weeks (Conservative)
Christian Vassie (Liberal Democrats)
Andy Chase (Green)
Paul Abbott (UKIP)
Eddy Vee (Monster Raving Loony)
Jeff Kelly (BNP)


There has been a boundary change since the last election. The results from 2005 were

Labour 46.9%
Conservative 24.4%
Liberal Democrat 21.8%
Green Party 4.5%
UKIP 1.8%

The BNP and the Monster Raving Loony's did not put up candidates for the seat in 2005. There were 3 other candidates in that election but none of them got more than 0.5% of the vote.

The BBC have done a projection of what the 2005 vote would have looked like with the new boundaries. This gives

Labour 48.8%
Conservative 22.9%
Liberal Democrat 20.1%
Other 8.2%

Which ever set of results you look at the Conservatives and the Lib Dems are going to have to do something fairly dramatic to unseat Hugh Bayley who has, after all, been MP for York for 18 years.